Woman Who Invented Credit Default Swaps is One of the Key Architects of Carbon Derivatives, Which Would Be at the Very CENTER of Cap and Trade

As I have previously shown, speculative derivatives (especially credit default swaps or “CDS”) are a primary cause of the economic crisis. They were largely responsible for bringing down Bear Stearns, AIG (and see this), WaMu and other mammoth corporations.

According to top experts, risky derivatives were not only largely responsible for bringing down the American (and world) economy, but they still pose a substantial systemic risk:

  • Warren Buffett called them “weapons of mass destruction” in 2003
  • Warren Buffett’s sidekick Charles T. Munger, has called the CDS prohibition the best solution, and said “it isn’t as though the economic world didn’t function quite well without it, and it isn’t as though what has happened has been so wonderfully desirable that we should logically want more of it”
  • Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan – after being one of their biggest cheerleaders – now says CDS are dangerous
  • Former SEC chairman Christopher Cox said “The virtually unregulated over-the-counter market in credit-default swaps has played a significant role in the credit crisis”
  • Newsweek called CDS “The Monster that Ate Wall Street”
  • President Obama said in a June 17 speech on his plans for finance industry regulatory reform that credit swaps and other derivatives “have threatened the entire financial system”
  • George Soros says the market is still unsafe, and that credit- default swaps are “toxic” and “a very dangerous derivative” because it’s easier and potentially more profitable for investors to bet against companies using them than through so-called short sales.
  • U.S. Congresswoman Maxine Waters introduced a bill in July that tried to ban credit-default swaps because she said they permitted speculation responsible for bringing the financial system to its knees.
  • Nobel prize-winning economist Myron Scholes – who developed much of the pricing structure used in CDS – said that over-the-counter CDS are so dangerous that they should be “blown up or burned”, and we should start fresh
  • A leading credit default swap expert (Satyajit Das) says that the new credit default swap regulations not only won’t help stabilize the economy, they might actually help to destabilize it.
  • Senator Cantwell says that the new derivatives legislation is weaker than current regulation

Round Two: Carbon Derivatives

Now, Bloomberg notes that the carbon trading scheme will be largely centered around derivatives:

The banks are preparing to do with carbon what they’ve done before: design and market derivatives contracts that will help client companies hedge their price risk over the long term. They’re also ready to sell carbon-related financial products to outside investors.

[Blythe] Masters says banks must be allowed to lead the way if a mandatory carbon-trading system is going to help save the planet at the lowest possible cost. And derivatives related to carbon must be part of the mix, she says. Derivatives are securities whose value is derived from the value of an underlying commodity — in this case, CO2 and other greenhouse gases…

Who is Blythe Masters?

She is the JP Morgan employee who invented credit default swaps, and is now heading JPM’s carbon trading efforts. As Bloomberg notes (this and all remaining quotes are from the above-linked Bloomberg article):

Masters, 40, oversees the New York bank’s environmental businesses as the firm’s global head of commodities…

As a young London banker in the early 1990s, Masters was part of JPMorgan’s team developing ideas for transferring risk to third parties. She went on to manage credit risk for JPMorgan’s investment bank.

Among the credit derivatives that grew from the bank’s early efforts was the credit-default swap.

Some in congress are fighting against carbon derivatives:

“People are going to be cutting up carbon futures, and we’ll be in trouble,” says Maria Cantwell, a Democratic senator from Washington state. “You can’t stay ahead of the next tool they’re going to create.”

Cantwell, 51, proposed in November that U.S. state governments be given the right to ban unregulated financial products. “The derivatives market has done so much damage to our economy and is nothing more than a very-high-stakes casino — except that casinos have to abide by regulations,” she wrote in a press release…

However, Congress may cave in to industry pressure to let carbon derivatives trade over-the-counter:

The House cap-and-trade bill bans OTC derivatives, requiring that all carbon trading be done on exchanges…The bankers say such a ban would be a mistake…The banks and companies may get their way on carbon derivatives in separate legislation now being worked out in Congress…

Financial experts are also opposed to cap and trade:

Even George Soros, the billionaire hedge fund operator, says money managers would find ways to manipulate cap-and-trade markets. “The system can be gamed,” Soros, 79, remarked at a London School of Economics seminar in July. “That’s why financial types like me like it — because there are financial opportunities”…

Hedge fund manager Michael Masters, founder of Masters Capital Management LLC, based in St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands [and unrelated to Blythe Masters] says speculators will end up controlling U.S. carbon prices, and their participation could trigger the same type of boom-and-bust cycles that have buffeted other commodities…

The hedge fund manager says that banks will attempt to inflate the carbon market by recruiting investors from hedge funds and pension funds.

“Wall Street is going to sell it as an investment product to people that have nothing to do with carbon,” he says. “Then suddenly investment managers are dominating the asset class, and nothing is related to actual supply and demand. We have seen this movie before.”

Indeed, as I have previously pointed out, many environmentalists are opposed to cap and trade as well. For example:

Michelle Chan, a senior policy analyst in San Francisco for Friends of the Earth, isn’t convinced.

“Should we really create a new $2 trillion market when we haven’t yet finished the job of revamping and testing new financial regulation?” she asks. Chan says that, given their recent history, the banks’ ability to turn climate change into a new commodities market should be curbed…

“What we have just been woken up to in the credit crisis — to a jarring and shocking degree — is what happens in the real world,” she says…

Friends of the Earth’s Chan is working hard to prevent the banks from adding carbon to their repertoire. She titled a March FOE report “Subprime Carbon?” In testimony on Capitol Hill, she warned, “Wall Street won’t just be brokering in plain carbon derivatives — they’ll get creative.”

How the Movie Ends

Yes, they’ll get “creative”, and we have seen this movie before …an inadequately-regulated carbon derivatives boom will destabilize the economy and lead to another crash.

I have previously pointed out that CDS sellers – like the big sellers of other financial products – know that the government will bail them out if CDS crash again. So they have strong incentives to sell them and to recreate huge levels of leverage. Indeed, the same dynamic that led to the S&L crisis also led to last year’s CDS crisis, and will lead to the next crisis as well. So – while CDS might be a particularly dangerous type of “weapon of mass destruction” (in Warren Buffet’s words), the new carbon derivatives may very well become the new form of looting on the public’s dime. If the government allows massive carbon derivatives trading with as little oversight as over the CDS market, taxpayers will end up spending many trillions bailing out the giant banks and propping up the economy when the carbon market bubble bursts.

And as I have previously pointed out: (1) the giant banks will make a killing on carbon trading, (2) while the leading scientist crusading against global warming says it won’t work, and (3) there is a very high probability of massive fraud and insider trading in the carbon trading markets.

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  • http://www.911blogger.com Orangutan.

    Man. Great article. I have flooded this out as far as I can. Blogs, email groups, Reddit. etc. I hope we can educate enough people to do something in this world. Thanks for this excellent reporting. Peace bro.

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    I cannot find a better place to say this, so I'll say it here.Yesterday a man was arrested for throwing tomatoes at Sarah Palin.I take strong objection to this.In our American Political Heritage is vast, varied, long and deep. -Noting this-, no one can deny it is entirely appropriate to throw tomatoes at political candidates, -all present, and past political candidates included.It is implied by our Vaudvillian heritage that we have the right to throw tomatoes at any and all public figures.Public people like Al Gore, David Letterman, Tom Cruise, Britney Spears, Tim Geithner, and Jim Lehrer should all be designated -OPEN-SEASON-.It certainly should be undeniably permissible to throw at said political candidates and moreso our political leaders, tomatoes, cabbages, eggs, feces of all types -and- even a dead carp.The historical precedent is clear.I consider this an expression of free speech, and -an extremely valuable expression of our free speech-.It should not be permissible to throw pitchforks at political candidates–unless that is, -they deserve it.

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    Simplicity is genius. He who creates the money owns everything. A fractional reserve fiat interest bearing money system is a ponzi scheme.End the Fed, allow the US government to create enough money to pay off the debt and rebuild America's infrastructure and watch the United States for America lead the world to prosperity again!The Colonies did it, the first century of the United States did it, England did it with the Tally system, and through out history flourishing civilizations did it! Time we did it again, it is due, it will be inevitable so let it happen now!

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    I like shoes better. Better yet…boots

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    Oh So Awesome! The Sun causes global warming, Wall Street is allowed to monetize the effects and when the market implodes or gets out of control- based on irrational exuberance and/or the SUN'S ACTIVITY American taxpayers get to PAY FOR IT ALL THROUGH THE TARP CDS CLIMATE MARKET BAILOUT!I so look forward to making financial employees lives the stuff of wonder with my hard work.

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    Hopefully we'll open the paper someday, or turn on the internet or watch the news and find that all these traitors have been arrested and are in jail. That would make my heart sing.

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    Oh my F***ing God!!! I used to work underneath this woman back in the day (albeit many many rungs underneath the ladder).Over two years I tried to understand what CDSs were according to the company line, never made sense until I realized it was all BS. Now Carbon trading? What a small world.

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    The sun warms the earth, this is true. The problem is that greenhouse gases cause the retention of heat that would otherwise radiate into space, causing excessive warming. The principles are simple, but weather is not. People can't tell the difference between peaks and averages. One cold snap, it's "what global warming". Too bad they don't teach science and math in school anymore.Cap'n'trade is another way to do nothing while pretending to do something, and get rich in the process. How American!

  • http://blog.polignostix.com Click here !

    Important article. It is imortant to wake up people. Henry Ford said that if people would understand economics they would start a revolution.As long as the money elites can do what they want they WILL do what they want.

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    AGW is at best dubious and corrupted science. At worst, the current excuse for the largest power grab in the history of humanity.They taught math and science when I went to school, and I am a scientist. I am one of the 10's of thousands of people who know that AGW is a crock. The real science is out there, and trust me, we WILL have another ice age – real science predicts it

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    Carbon Tax is the way to go: industries will seek lower emission, or no emission, alternatives in order to pay less tax.The revenue collected can be returned to citizens to pay for home improvements like insulation, solar, etc and improving & expanding utilities like public transportation.Much easier to implement than cap & trade, once the big players (also the biggest contributors) do it others will soon follow. Any nay-sayers will get a Carbon Tariff imposed and they'll quickly change their minds.Phasing out coal by 2030 might not be a bad idea either.

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    Life Insurance (other than pure term) is the same smoke and mirrors nonsense as CDS, et al

  • http://WoeisMoenoreply@blogger.com Woe is Moe

    The problem with Carbon Tax is that it puts $$$ in the hands of the govt and you trust them to "return it to citizens for insulation, etc." HAHAHAHAHA!!Cap and Trade puts $$ in the hands of businesses who are incented to lower carbon. Not a perfect system, and yes (gasp!) banks will make profits, but far better than a tax.

  • http://www.cuttingthroughthematrix.com simeau

    Another form of graft and extortion which the public enables by tacit approval; dumb, dumb, dumb, dumb, dumb!

  • http://Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com Anonymous

    As an Expat Wall St. lawyer, expertized in regulatory arbitage, toiled hard for my banking clients (i.e., ALL the usual suspects — all of them) to maintain the regulatory status of OTC derivatives as "neither fish not foul , nor good red herring".THAT SAID, Cap & Trade ("C&T")is inevitable in U.S. — the EU ETS has got it. Hate to say it, but C&T is the most "efficient" price discovery mechanism out there — since the whole point (in my mind) is to "discovery" the cost /price of the carbon externalities. And yes the Banks will take a huge tithing — if we got a problem , then shut donw the current market in Energy Derivatives. Carbon Trading will be an arbitrage position vis-a-vis ALREADY EXISTING gas/coal/power OTC derivatives — in oil tradiong bus. when they trade oil vs. gasoline vs. kerosene etc., its called "crack trading" (someone go figure).Blessd,Deep ThoughtFull disclosure : I'm with the Anthropogenic camp when it come to who/"what" caused the currnet global warming — it ain't about sunspots, ladies and gents.

 

 

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